Benjamin Graham is widely regarded to be the founder of modern value
investing. His greatest student, Warren Buffett, attributes much of his
success to Graham’s teachings.
Though Graham believed that much research is necessary and that no
stock screening methodology is perfect, he did give us some guidelines
on how to perform initial screening techniques to limit the number of
investments that should be researched further. The following is a list
of the attributes he suggests investors look for first. The italics
represent our changes to his methodology based on the current market:
1. Price-to-book (P/B) ratio of less than 1.2 (P/B < 1.5).
Intangible assets such as intellectual property, brand name
recognition, and customer base, are not reflected in the price-to-book
ratio, so we suggest a P/B of less than 1.5, rather than 1.2 that
Graham discusses. He recognized this fact as well and commented that
the P/B could be up to 2.5 if the company has significant intangible
assets.
2. Earnings per share (EPS) should have grown by 33% in the past 10 years (Earnings growth of 3% or more in past 5 years).
Earnings thus should have grown around 3% per year. In this exercise, we go back 5 years, looking for 3%+ growth in earnings.
3. The price-to-earnings (ttm) ratio should be below 15.
Perhaps the most common valuation metric, the price-to-earnings
ratio allows us to understand the earnings power of the company
compared to its price. A high P/E ratio is common among “growth” stocks
who are expecting phenomenal growth, but Graham believed that there is
no way to be sure growth will continue at a pace that justifies the
high price.
4. The current ratio should be above 1.5 (Quick Ratio > 1.5).
The current ratio represents the current assets divided the
current liabilities. This ensures that if the company faces a crisis,
they have 50% more assets than liabilities to work with. For this
exercise, we are going to use the quick ratio instead, which is a more
conservative number because it disregards any current assets that might
be difficult to unload in a tight situation, such as inventory.
5. The company should pay out a dividend (>2%).
Dividends, in Graham’s opinion, are a very important indicator
of a company’s financial health. Not only that, but they indicate a
shareholder friendly management team. For this screener, we locate
stocks that pay out more than 2% annually.
The Results
Now that we have mapped out what Graham thinks makes a good starting
point for a list of investments, we will show you the results of
running such a screener in today’s market.
The following companies meet or exceed Graham’s initial test and should be considered for review by the intelligent investor.
| Ticker |
Company Name |
P/E |
Price/Book Ratio |
Quick Ratio |
% Yield |
| AXA |
AXA ADS |
8.464 |
1.016 |
5.126 |
4.9 |
| HIG |
HARTFORD FIN SVC |
7.734 |
1.168 |
6.292 |
3 |
| LNC |
LINCOLN NATL CP |
11.706 |
1.171 |
3.344 |
3.3 |
| NFS |
NATIONWIDE FIN SV |
11.181 |
1.27 |
4.032 |
2.4 |
| RE |
EVEREST RE GRP LT |
6.952 |
1.014 |
2.131 |
2.1 |
| PL |
PROTECTIVE LIFE C |
10.543 |
1.22 |
4.777 |
2.2 |
| SFI |
ISTAR FINL INC |
12.503 |
0.87 |
8.963 |
19 |
| BVF |
BIOVAIL CORP |
9.342 |
1.408 |
1.664 |
14 |
| IBA |
INDUSTRIOS BACHOC |
11.872 |
1.012 |
2.482 |
2.3 |
| CTB |
COOPER TIRE RUBBE |
7.882 |
1.132 |
1.62 |
2.9 |
| KELYA |
KELLY SVCS CL A |
13.536 |
0.946 |
1.63 |
2.7 |
| GKK |
GRAMERCY CAP CORP |
3.639 |
1.097 |
52.383 |
14 |
| FIF |
FINANCIAL FED CP |
11.535 |
1.492 |
5.669 |
2.7 |
| PLFE |
PRESIDENTIAL LIFE |
7.914 |
0.759 |
91.47 |
3 |
| NTE |
NAM TAI ELECTRONI |
6.551 |
1.379 |
2.566 |
8.9 |
| MVC |
MVC CAPITAL INC |
5.363 |
0.954 |
1.549 |
3.3 |
| FMD |
FIRST MARBLEHEAD |
1.711 |
0.394 |
3.662 |
13.3 |
| NGPC |
NGP CAPITAL RESOU |
9.168 |
1.141 |
1.595 |
9.7 |
| LYTS |
LSI INDUSTRIES I |
11.786 |
1.418 |
1.637 |
5 |
| BBSI |
BARRETT BUSINESS |
9.549 |
1.223 |
2.099 |
2.1 |
| SCX |
STARRETT L S CO C |
11.83 |
0.693 |
2.445 |
2 |
| ODC |
OIL DRI CP OF AME |
14.345 |
1.424 |
1.994 |
3 |
| JCS |
COMMUN SYSTEMS IN |
13.22 |
1.131 |
3.986 |
4.3 |
| CIX |
COMPX INTL INC |
10.987 |
0.801 |
2.069 |
7.3 |
| DCU |
DRY CLEAN USA INC |
8.114 |
0.963 |
2.239 |
9.2 |
As always, don’t take these as recommendations, rather as a good place to start researching. Lucky for you, the Investment Advisor Newsletter
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In the interest of full disclosure, the author of this article does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned.