Accrued Interest has come out in favour of Exchange Traded Credit Default Swaps in a new post:Bailouts, Wall Street, and the Bad Motivator, although he does not go so far as some in claiming that over-the-counter trading should be (effectively) banned.
I addressed a similar exhortation in my post Leverage, Bear Stearns & Econbrowser.
I’m not a proponent of Exchange Trading for CDSs - I can see a useful purpose being served by a clearinghouse, but exchanges are set up so that non-institutional players get to play. I will defer to any those with better information, but I don’t sense any clamour from retail to trade in Credit Swaps … several attempts to set up an exchange have died on the vine (see Update #4 to the ‘Econbrowser’ post) although I don’t know to what extent retail was invited to the party. By me, exchange trading will involve enormous listing fees and a huge bureaucracy to list a plethora of CDSs that will trade by appointment only at 100bp spreads. What’s the point?
While I have great respect for Accrued Interest, I think there are a number of misconceptions embedded in his post:
Had Bear Stearns been allowed to fail, banks world wide would have lost their counter-party on various derivative transactions.
Well, no. As I pointed out on the ‘Econbrowser’ post:
as far as the counterparties were concerned, their counterparty was not BSC per se, but wholly-owned, independently capitalized, highly rated subsidiaries of BSC. Just how adequate the capital, accurate the ratings, and ring-fenced the assets actually were is something I am not qualified to judge - seeing as how I haven’t even seen any of the guarantees and financial statements in question. But neither, it would appear, has Prof. Hamilton.
I should note that I brought this up in the comments to the Accrued Interest post:
JH: I don’t believe that this is correct. See my post Leverage, Bear Stearns & Econbrowser
…
James: I read your piece at the time. My reaction is that we don’t really know what would have happened if BSC actually declared bankruptcy.
Accrued Interest goes on to postulate:
Let’s say you allow Bear Stearns to fail and that caused XYZ bank to fail. Is that capitalism? Forcing XYZ to suffer for the sins of Bear Stearns?
I say … yes, that is capitalism, but no, it’s not forcing XYZ to suffer for the sins of BSC. It is forcing XYZ to suffer for their own sins in not demanding adequate collateralization from BSC when their position started winning (if XYZ’s trade was losing, BSC’s bankruptcy would not affect them).