Soaring oil prices have forced Indian authorities to raise subsidized fuel
prices and risk propelling inflation that is already running at a three-year
high.
The Indian government subsidizes most fuel costs, meaning state oil firms are
forced to sell fuel at hugely discounted rates to shield consumers from
inflation. But with the price of oil soaring to a recent high of $135 a barrel,
refineries have been unable to cover costs and pressed to the point of
bankruptcy.
The inability to pass high prices onto consumers cost state-run refiners
about $43 billion for the year ended March 31, Serangulam V. Narasimhan, finance
director at Indian Oil Corp. Ltd., said last month. The companies lost
roughly $18 billion the year prior.
The Indian government had tried to cope with the matter by scrapping a 5%
import tax on crude oil and cutting the import tax on gasoline and diesel to
2.5% from 7.5%, but the measures proved ineffective. So, yesterday (Wednesday),
the government attempted to ease the burden on the refiners by boosting its
subsidized fuel prices for the first time since February.
The price of gasoline will rise 11% in the Indian capital of New Delhi to
$1.17 (50.6 rupees) per liter. Indian drivers will pay 9% more for diesel, and
families will be charged an additional 17% per cylinder of cooking gas, India’s
Oil Minister Murli Deora told reporters.
Still, as Deora also pointed out, even with the price hike, India’s
state-owned oil companies are projected to lose a total of $58.4 billion this
fiscal year, which runs from April through March 2009.
“The prices should have been raised higher for a real impact,” Ballabh Modani
an analyst with Mumbai-based Enam Securities Pvt. told Bloomberg
News. “There’s no point in an ad hoc increase.”
While the companies still stand to lose a significant amount of money, the
Indian government must tread carefully when raising prices, as wholesale prices
are already at a three-and-a-half-year peak of 8.1%.
The hike in fuel prices was India’s biggest in 12 years, and is expected to
add another between 0.5% and 0.6% to wholesale prices. If the government had
pushed prices any higher, it would have been risking social unrest among the
nation’s poor who are already coping with high food prices.
“Already milk, vegetables, wheat – the price of everything has gone up so
much,” Balaram, an office driver earning a little over $100 a month, told
Reuters. “And now gas and petrol. With my salary,
after paying my rent and my expenses, what will I send home? How will I feed my
family and what will I save?”
Together, food and fuel account for about 75% of household spending for poor
families in Asia. And India, despite its growing reputation for economic
success, currently has the largest number of people living in abject poverty:
more than 350 million, or about a third of the population.
