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Dave Fry's Market Comments for June 30
By: Dave Fry   Monday, June 30, 2008 8:15 PM
Sectors: ETFs , Finance , Index

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Today went about as one might expect with conditions short-term oversold at the opening bell. So we had our rally based more on these conditions and a dash of hope more than any positive news.

Really, we should rally a little here as end-of-month dividends get reinvested. They still have those right? Then there’s some typical upside action around July 4th possibly.

Volume was about average but breadth both sucked and blowed. [Note: Something weird happens to Yahoo/Finance just after 4:30--their ability to calculate columns is destroyed.]







































































































































We got a lot of mail and comments regarding what appeared as some poor tracking issues with a few leveraged inverse products. ProShares has been responsive to this issue. ETF Digest friend and colleague Greg Newton [NakedShorts.typepad.com] took the information the issuer sent us and reworked it to account for a dividend which skewered results. Greg took the time to produce the following table showing the results. You can see once the dividend adjustment is made the result from the previous week made tracking smoother and acceptably efficient.




Additionally, I’ll repeat my observations made Thursday evening that investors should not expect precise intraday tracking and need to give some of these issues time to work out whatever perceived inefficiencies may exist. This might mean waiting a few days dependent on how exotic, illiquid and new the leveraged issue might be. Finally, investors should take care when placing orders to ascertain where the leveraged issue is trading versus the comparable index and/or unleveraged issue.

The month of June ends with a whimper and without any significant fireworks. GS stating to buy puts on euro stocks was impressive. How much clout they have remains to be seen.

Have a pleasant evening.

Disclaimer: Among other issues the ETF Digest maintains long or short positions in: SDS, MZZ, QID, TWM, IYR, SRS, SIJ, SCC, DBA, DAG, EFA, EFU, EEM, EEV, EWZ, FXI and FXP.

 

 
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