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Dave Fry's Market Comments for July 16 By: Dave Fry Wednesday, July 16, 2008 8:08 PM
Sectors: ETFs
, Finance
, Index
A rally like todays was expected and also suggested as a possibility in
yesterday’s last paragraph. Let’s face it; markets were oversold and ripe for
some kind of bounce, large or small. And today’s rally was supersized.
Two of the three problems facing markets got some help today as oil
prices continued to fall and there was a “shred” of good news from Wells Fargo.
That was enough to stampede the herd. Inside the numbers conditions were
good although I thought NYSE volume moderate considering the day. Anyway it
appears NASDAQ breadth was strong enough to qualify for a 90/10 day when 90% of
stocks advance along with 90% of volume. But, I’m not confident in Yahoo’s data
so I’m posting it and that from the WSJ. I’ve issued many warnings about a reversal day like this
coming for the past two weeks. Today hurt shorts badly but it hasn’t altered the
bear market status of the overall market. And, we could have a few more days
like this. The government most likely intervened in financial sectors today
buying FRE and FNM as they indicated they would. So the PPT lives. It
shouldn’t surprise anyone demand destruction in commodity sectors is a
possibility given anemic economic conditions. OPEC officials yesterday stated
demand for oil would decline this year due to poor economic conditions. If Iran
wants higher oil prices then they’ll launch a few more missiles or get their
proxies in Nigeria to stir up more trouble. However, the CPI, bogus
number that it is, coupled with poor economic conditions should give everyone
the willies. It means stagflation and that’s not good. With the CPI now
including “owner’s equivalent rent” as a major component, and that trend rising,
perhaps the government will now want to revert to the previous model that
included home prices now that they’re falling. Ok, let’s not give them any
ideas. Let me leave you with a simple question: “Do you think members of
congress actually know why the Federal Reserve Board was created and what they
actually do?” Have a pleasant evening. Disclaimer: Among other
issues the ETF Digest maintains long or short positions in: SPY, SDS, MZZ, IWM, TWM, QQQQ, QLD, XLI, SIJ, XLY, SCC, IYR, SRS, GLD, DBP, DBA, DAG, EFA, EFU, EEM, EEV, EWZ, RSX, FXI and FXP.
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