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Daily Report for Fri, Jul 25, 2008
By: Bill Cara   Friday, July 25, 2008 9:52 AM
Sectors: ETFs

US equity markets tumbled through the session Thursday as the Bear resumed its attack on wealth. No matter how agreeable some Talking Heads tried to spin the housing and jobs data, traders were expecting the worse and got it. The rising oil price ($WTIC +1.05/bbl) also pressured markets.

Despite the early morning claims of some banks they have sufficient capital to withstand this crisis, traders understand that a minor run on deposits would sink some very large banks, and so the Banks ($BKX -6.7%) and Broker-Dealers ($XBD -6.5%) sold off through the session.

Renewed worries about oil prices and tightening credit further damaged the Airlines ($XAL), which plunged -11.1%. REITs ($DJR -6.7%) also were sold.

Capital flowed out of risky equities into US Treasuries. The 30-year US Bond ($USB) gained +1.22% to 115.00. This is hot money and not long-term bond investment.

Yesterday, the DJIA (-283.1 -2.43% to 11349.28), S&P 500 (-29.65 -2.31% to 1252.54) and NASDAQ Composite (-45.77 -1.97% to 2280.11) were crushed. The Financials (XLF -6.72%) led the way.

Crude Oil ($WTIC +1.05/bbl) recovered to 125.49, while $GOLD gained just 50 cents an oz to 922.30.

The Toronto Composite index ignored these gains and also sold off (-2.27% to 13206), while the Venture market sold down -1.73% to 2185.

Biotech ($BTK +0.62%) was the only industry in the NY markets that held up, mostly because of the excitement caused by the Pfizer proposal a day earlier to acquire the 44% shares in Genentech they don’t already own.

Cara 100 stocks on the rise were QCOM (+17.0%) and NOK (+2.2%) due to a settlement of lawsuits between the parties, which should help both these companies. On the Cara 100 losing side, the worst were the Indian banks IBN (-10.6%) and HDB (-8.3%). IBN (ICICI) reports today.

On the economic front today, traders will be watching durable goods, consumer sentiment, and new home sales.

Earlier today, the Asia-Pacific markets all followed yesterday’s US market sell-off. Tokyo (-1.97% to 13334.8), Shanghai (-1.55% to 2865.1), Hong Kong (-1.50% to 22740.7), Australia (-3.03% to 5031.0) and India (-3.40% to 14274.9) were all hit hard by the selling.

In Europe this morning at 8:41am ET (1345 GMT), there are further losses, but these have moderated in the past few minutes following the release of better than expected US durable goods data. The UK FTSE is down -0.38% to 5343, the French CAC +0.21% to 4357, and the German DAX -0.74% to 6393.

Crude Oil futures this morning are up +$0.76/bbl to 126.25. The $USD is quiet at $0.7297, while the Euro is at 1.5659. DJIA futures are up +28 to 11379, based on the Durable Goods Orders data that was published a couple minutes ago.

At 8.50am ET, Gold, palladium, platinum and silver spot prices are presently at: 928.25, 384, 1729 and 17.37 respectively, which are close to yesterday morning’s prices.



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