FNM, FRE, LEH & Putin is not a new securities firm but just the elements in
a cloud that continues to hang over markets. Let’s face it, we’re just moving
back and forth here. One week bulls seize the tape with declining commodity
prices and a strengthening dollar then the next bears emerge and reverse
everything. This is either trading range action on lighter summer volume or the
start of a new down-leg in a bear market. It’s too soon to make the case either
way.
Volume remains light especially on the NASDAQ while breadth was
unremarkable.
Commodities had sold off hard and were oversold. Firms
like GS know this and are anxious to take advantage to catch investors leaning
the wrong way. So they’ll take big long positions for their proprietary accounts
and release the accompanying bullish report. Doing this in late summer with
markets stretched and with light volume can make their month for their trading
desks. Bully for them!
Equities look quite sick and seem as if nothing
will happen trend-wise until some of the major negatives overhanging the markets
are resolved. That means FRE/FNM/LEH coming to some final result.
Tensions with the Soviets remain high and no doubt the latter is willing
to use energy as a weapon to crush dissent and threats of any kind from the
West. So, gold prices rise along with everything else starting with a “C” while
the emerging dollar rally may be snuffed-out.
One thing’s for sure, the
week ends tomorrow. Enjoy your weekend.
Disclaimer: Among other issues
the ETF Digest maintains long or short positions in:
IWM,
IVE,
XLY,
XLV, UGE,
IEF,
DBC,
DEE,
GLD,
DZZ,
UUP,
EFA, EFU,
EEM, EEV, and FXI