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Welcome To The Mortgage Business
Sectors: Finance
Symbols: FNM, FRE
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The Good News For Taxpayers:
"With this agreement, Treasury
receives senior preferred equity shares and warrants that protect
taxpayers. Additionally, under the terms of the agreement, common and
preferred shareholders bear losses ahead of the new government senior
preferred shares."
"While conservatorship does not
eliminate the common stock, it does place common shareholders last in
terms of claims on the assets of the enterprise."
"Similarly, conservatorship does not
eliminate the outstanding preferred stock, but does place preferred
shareholders second, after the common shareholders, in absorbing
losses."
The Bad News For Taxpayers:
“To promote stability in the
secondary mortgage market and lower the cost of funding, the GSEs will
modestly increase their MBS portfolios through the end of 2009. Then,
to address systemic risk, in 2010 their portfolios will begin to be
gradually reduced at the rate of 10 percent per year, largely through
natural run off, eventually stabilizing at a lower, less risky size.”
- [Ciovacco Capital
Management (CCM) comment: This means taxpayers will take on more risk
in the form of additional mortgage-backed securities above and beyond
what Fannie and Freddie have now. No one else in the free market wants
to take on this risk, so the taxpayers will do it.]
"Treasury will ensure that each company maintains a positive net worth."
- [CCM comment: This should read “the taxpayers will ensure each company maintains a positive net worth.”]
“The second step Treasury is taking
today is the establishment of a new secured lending credit facility
which will be available to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Federal
Home Loan Banks.”
- [CCM
comment: The credit facility is ultimately backed by the taxpayers. No
one else wants to lend Fannie and Freddie money, so the taxpayers will
do it.]
“Finally, to further support the
availability of mortgage financing for millions of Americans, Treasury
is initiating a temporary program to purchase GSE MBS.”
- [CCM
comment: No one in the free market wants to buy these mortgage-backed
securities (MBS) from Fannie and Freddie, so the taxpayers will do it.]
The Spin For The Public:
"Preferred stock investors should
recognize that the GSEs are unlike any other financial institutions and
consequently GSE preferred stocks are not a good proxy for financial
institution preferred stock more broadly. By stabilizing the GSEs so
they can better perform their mission, today's action should accelerate
stabilization in the housing market, ultimately benefiting financial
institutions. The broader market for preferred stock issuance should
continue to remain available for well-capitalized institutions.”
- [CCM
comment: This means those of you who own preferred stock issued by
banks and financial institutions should not be concerned if the value
of Freddie and Fannie preferred and common shares plummet in the coming
days and weeks. Everything is fine.]
“Nothing about our actions today in
any way reflects a changed view of the housing correction or of the
strength of other U.S. financial institutions.”
- [CCM
comment: Even though we told you Fannie and Freddie were fine five
weeks ago and now we feel we must take them over, you should trust us
when we say the housing market is going to be fine and the banks will
be fine too. No need to panic and no need to sell your stocks.]
NOTE: The portion of the article below was written on Saturday before Sunday's detailed Fed announcement.
Welcome To The Mortgage Business
As a U.S. taxpayer and private citizen, I never intended to enter the
mortgage business. According to reports published after the markets
closed on Friday, all U.S. taxpayers will soon be active participants
and financial stakeholders in the U.S. mortgage market. When a
homeowner decides to “walk away” from their mortgage obligation or
cannot make the payments for any reason, you and I, without our
consent, will be obligated to help.
What Are We On The Hook For?
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buy mortgages from mortgage originators.
They pool the mortgages and sell an interest in the mortgage pool in
the form of bonds. The principal and interest payments from the
homeowners pass-through to bondholders in the form of a payment. If
some of the mortgage holders default or simply walk away, Fannie and
Freddie guarantee principal and interest payments to the bondholders.
In the very near future, you and I as taxpayers will guarantee the
principal and interest payments to the bondholders. You and I will
stand behind what the New York Times referred to as “huge potential
liabilities” which could cost the taxpayers “tens of billions of
dollars”. Welcome to the mortgage business.
 
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