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Market Summary - Three Ring Circus
By: Rebel Traders   Thursday, September 18, 2008 2:58 AM
Sectors: Finance , Index
Symbols: WFC
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The Greatest Show on Earth:  Stock Market Three-Ring Circus (Fed, Treasury, SEC), but anarchy ensues with no Ring Master!  This statement issued by the SEC on short-selling rules is beyond belief.  The lengths they are willing to go, in order to shore up the market indices, is unreal.  Confidence has been lost, can they really believe this kind of measure is going to make investors happy?  As happy as the were over the “bail-out” of AIG? 

Millions of investors entrust their savings to our securities markets because they can be confident that our markets are orderly, liquid, efficient, and rational, said Chairman Cox. The turmoil in today’s markets, particularly in the financial sector, is challenging that assumption for ordinary Americans. Markets are the best tool a free society has to price and allocate assets across a complex economy, but as is well known from experience, sometimes the wisdom of crowds is supplanted by crowd behavior. We need well-functioning markets to help us draw the line between reasonable miscalculation and error or something worse involving the failure of due diligence, self-dealing, and conflicts of interest. It is thus vitally important that the market mechanism continue to inspire investor confidence.

Dang shorts!  It’s all the short sellers!!  Sure it is!  It couldn’t possibly have anything to do with bad management and billions of dollars in losses.  I take issue with much Cox had to say (like “ordinary” Americans), but the most ironic part of this statement is about “self-dealing” and “conflicts of interest.”  Who would know more about that than The Federal Reserve, the US Treasury, and the Securities and Exchange Commission?  Billions of dollars are being poured into the banking system everyday, (through overnight loans, 7-day/28-day/name-a-day loans), in an effort to stabilize the financial system. 

How do you know your country’s financial system is in major trouble?

1.  Banks start merging

2.  They start filing for bankruptcy

3.  The government gives them Billions of dollars for daily operations

4.  The government encourages China to buy them all

5.  The SEC blames stock short-sellers for their demise

6.  The government just puts them all into conservatorship

Tomorrow, the US is selling $30B in 76-day bills.  The US government is trying to raise money.  Are we having freaking fun yet??  I am “short” this market, and I will stay short.  We will have a bear market rally at some point, and when we do, I will play some long positions and short even more!  With everything we know now, I believe this market is way over-valued.

Chuck will place some charts in this post shortly.

gold chart 9_17_08

 (GLD Daily Chart)

 

qqqq daily chart 9_17_08

 (QQQQ Daily Chart)

 

wells fargo daily chart 9_17_08

 Wells Fargo (WFC) Daily Chart

 

xlf daily chart 9_17_08

 Financial Sector (XLF) Daily Chart


 

 
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