I went to bed with the news that McCain wasn't sure if he would support the splurge. Not that anyone needs my vote on this thing, but I woke up trying to figure out if I am in favor of it. So I'll read (links) and think outloud and hopefully get somewhere.
My friend Tom Evslin, a conservative in the best sense of the word, posted his thoughts titled Just Say No. He argues the splurge is a short term fix and we should invest the capital in long term solutions to our economic problems instead.
My friend Roger Ehrenberg, a wall street guy who made the leap to startups and VC a few years back, thinks we must do something:
Bottom line, I think the system would remain too jammed for too long
simply letting things play out on their own. Now I am a free markets
guy. I grew up in the markets. Love the markets. Believe in the
markets. But this market is badly broken, and it needs a bridge loan to
begin the healing process. And this can and must be structured in a
manner that achieves the objectives without unfair and inappropriate
bailouts. The devil is in the details. But to toss aside the call for
action is, in my opinion, playing a dangerous and unnecessary game.
Mohamed El-Eria, Co-CEO of the huge bond fund PIMCO, wrote this in the FT yesterday:
As is now widely recognised, left to their own devices, US financial
markets simply could not accommodate the large and simultaneous
shrinkage of multiple balance sheets without major damage to
institutions and, critically, the system. Last week, the damage had
migrated to the essential component of any financial system - the
smooth functioning of cash, collateral and counterparty risk management.
You
would think all this would be too arcane for the politicians to take
notice until it was too late. Yet they did because disruptions affected
money market funds and, as such, became a real and present danger to
the average American. In these circumstances, the authorities had no
option but to act urgently. They did so by coming up with a bold and
targeted multifaceted approach.