Rick says your portfolio should be all about playing safe for now. He recommends eight inverse ETF plays to hedge against this downside risk.
I can understand the fixation on the bailout, but other economic reports are getting lost as a result.
Last Thursday was a day that the mass distraction was working to its
full capabilities. Investors chose to ignore all economic data in order
to focus on the progress of Congress.
In case you missed it, durable goods orders for August were down 4.5
percent from July (I guess the stimulus checks ran out), initial
jobless claims jumped to 493,000 (the highest figure in seven years),
new home sales dropped to a 17-year low and home sale prices dropped
11.8 percent (the largest drop on record).
But the bailout is going to solve all of this and it will do it immediately, right?
I don’t think so. Companies are not going to start borrowing
tomorrow and banks are not going to start throwing money at people all
of the sudden.
Granted the bailout should help stabilize things and keep us from
going into an all out meltdown, but it is not going to fix everything
and it isn’t going to do it immediately.
I hate to sound like such a doom and gloomer, but if it’s cloudy
outside, I am not going to tell you that it’s sunny and hope that you
don’t notice.
Last Wednesday, we had a company wide meeting and we were all asked
to state what our goals were for each day. My answer was in two parts:
my goal is to make my readers money or educate them. It’s that simple.
Having said this, should a bailout agreement get reached before you
receive my article this morning (they are feverishly working on it),
expect a rally when an agreement is reached and it is approved in
congress. But don’t go buying into the rally.
I think this is going to be another case of buy the rumor and sell
the news. Any agreement that is reached will cast a sense of relief for
the financial sector, without a doubt. However, it isn’t going to solve
the underlying problems with our economy.
We will continue to see job loss in the coming months (the September
employment numbers will be released on Friday), consumers will still
struggle to keep up with their obligations and the housing market will
continue to slip for the foreseeable future.
I have expressed in IDE many times that I don’t think the economy
turns around until the housing market turns around.