Enter Symbol
Enter Search String
Accenture: Market Fears Overshadow Fundamentals
By: College Analysts   Tuesday, September 30, 2008 11:49 PM
Sectors: Business Services
Symbols: ACN
Join Blog Network
Alerts by Email
Research Articles
Stock Ranking Changes
Related RSS Feeds

ACN Headline Feed

ACN Feed Add to Google: ACN Feed Add to Yahoo: ACN Feed

Sector Feeds:

submit article


(W)e have tremendous financial strength, a rock solid balance sheet, strong cash flow and other financial metrics which is unique, powerful and distinctive. High performance is something we take seriously not only for our clients but for our company and our shareholders.

-Bill Green, CEO, Accenture

A few different people have recently posed questions to me along the lines of “what stocks are safe to own” with all the fear surrounding the market. While it’s difficult to say for sure with how broad the potential for financial problems to spill over into other industries, one company I follow that recently announced earnings (and didn’t see the stock drop 20%) was consulting firm Accenture (ACN).

The underlying story with Accenture continues to be the great cash flow the firm generates, which leads to a pristine balance sheet in a time when that becomes an extremely valuable asset. Accenture ended the quarter with more than $3.6 billion in cash and no debt, after turning out more than $900 million in FCF for the quarter. On a trailing twelve month basis, the stock still trades for a single digit multiple to free cash flow – roughly 8x, after backing out the cash on hand.

I see that multiple as being very low relative to the continued growth Accenture has delivered throughout the organization – be it geographically (organic double-digit growth in the Americas and Asia) or operationally (more than half of segments). Guidance was also very good, with a surge in orders for outsourcing support driving a 22% increase in bookings as companies look to Accenture to help cut and contain costs in a challenging economic environment.

If there is one specific near-term catalyst I had to pick with Accenture, it would be the expanding operating margins the company should realize because attrition rate (employee turnover) seems likely to head lower given the tough job environment. A paucity of jobs, particularly well-paying ones, should increase the chance that existing consultants who might otherwise leave for greener pastures stay on board; this will result in higher productivity levels and ultimately flow through to profits.

Regardless of whether it takes some incremental profitability improvements for Accenture to get the respect and multiple it deserves, the company continues to use its cash flow to diligently buy back stock. Because consulting is not a high capital expenditure industry, most of the free cash flow can be returned to shareholders via dividends (raised 19%) and buybacks ($2.3 billion spent in the last year). Lest it be left unsaid, these buybacks will inevitably translate to higher earnings per share, and if the market continues to ignore Accenture’s persistence on this front, they’ll eventually be able to take themselves private.

Bottom line here, the market doesn’t seem to be a buyer of Accenture’s great quarter and strong outlook. CEO Bill Green added later in the conference call that “Credibility means everything,” and in an environment where actions speak louder than words, the combination of continued profitability on top of a balance sheet that supports billions in share buybacks should not be ignored.


 

 
Rate :  Rate this Commentary  


 Number of Comments (1) Post Comment
 
  
Good Rating(+1)    Bad Rating(-1)
 
Title:
Posted by: Ummmm, no
Nov 09, 2008 13:30
So much 100% incorrect fluff here: 1. Actually Accenture is using its operating profits ONLY TO BUY BACK NON PUBLICLY TRADED SHARES FROM ITS PARTNERS...as is explained in its EDGAR filings. This is *NOT* helping the share price. 2. The sudden massive spike in the strength of the dollar has incented Accenture to layoff the deeply experienced US employees, creating further brain drain at the company, even as: 3. Attrition rates are still extremely high for their massively growing labour pool of inexperienced Indian employees...the published number ranges from 17 to 25%, with an average of 20% (still) for some reports. 4. The brain drain, coupled with the still-too-high billing rates needed to support the extravagant pay scales for the 2000+ partners, are leading to increasing client dissatisfaction, defection, and lawsuits. Some recent suits in the high hundreds of millions rates include the one initiated recently by Chrysler for Accenture promising huge but delivering zero. There are many, many, many other massive recent Accenture lawsuits from huge angry former clients, which included the governments of 2 large countries, and many of the largest corporations in the world. Accenture is pursuing a bad business strategy, necessitated by the need to cut everything of value in the company but partner salaries, and it shows in the fading stock price.
Reply Report Spam 1
Show Reply

 
 
  Home | Login |Research | Earnings | Scans | Chat Rooms | Charts | Submit Article | Join Blog Network | Contributors | Subscribe to RSS

copryright 2008 all rights reserved