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That's The Bottom, For Now
By: Financial Ninja   Wednesday, October 08, 2008 10:16 AM
Sectors: Basic Materials , Computer and Technology
Symbols: AAPL, AGU, BIDU, GOOG, MOS, POT, RIMM
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On Tuesday I said it was Oversold Bounce Time, Going Long: “So, I started going net long yesterday. That’s right LONG.

You can find my conversation here on the Slope of Hope and here on the Evil Speculator in the comments section.

I’ve gone long the NASDAQ and the S&P500 through QLD and SSO. I’ve picked up some of names the hedgies have puked hard: AGU, MON, MOS, POT and AAPL, BIDU, GOOG, RIMM.

These are all oversold bounce trades. If the wheels start to come off, I’ll hedge by slamming the Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures short.”

I picked up most of the positions near the Monday lows. I hedged those gains, although not perfectly, using futures on the gap up off the open Tuesday. Clearly the wheels starting coming off pretty quickly and I was glad for the hedges. I took them off a little early and flipped long on the S&P500 (ES DEC08).

I think this was the rinse. Everybody that had to get out, got out. The hedgies got their redemption notices and were forced sellers. Retail accounts got margin calls and were forced sellers. The weak hands have folded.

I’ve noticed Joe Sixpack has finally caught on after being smacked with headline after headline warning of a ‘financial crisis’ and ‘another great depression’. I’m pretty sure most of them have now sold their mutual funds now. Hell, even Jim Cramer capitulated hitting the “SELLSELLSELL” button. Jim Cramer Says Sell, Almost Guarantees a Bottom.

 

 
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