Analyst Comments: Aon Corporation, BHP Billiton, NTT DoCoMo, DRS Technologies, Evergreen Solar
Tuesday, July 22, 2008 4:23 PM
Sectors: Aerospace , Basic Materials , Computer and Technology , Finance
Symbols: AOC, BHP, DCM, DRS, ESLR, RTP
The petroleum group's production profile will continue to increase in the second half as these operations ramp up and the Neptune and Zamzama expansions are commissioned.

Further, BHP has a strong balance sheet with healthy cash generation and low debt level. On July 17, BHP announced that Billiton Mitsubishi Alliance, a joint venture between BHP Billiton and Mitsubishi Corporation, has entered into an agreement to acquire 100% of the New Saraji Project from New Hope Corporation Limited for a cash consideration of approximately US$2.4 billion. On July 11, BHP announced the completion of Anglo Potash Ltd. acquisition.

DCM Heading in the Right Direction

We maintain our Buy rating and the same valuation target for NTT DoCoMo, Inc. (DCM), the largest wireless service provider in Japan. The company commands approximately 50% of the Japanese cellular market. The introduction of discount-priced service plans progressed as DCM's customer churn rate improved significantly.

In order to maintain its leadership position, the company launched a sales promotion to popularize its FOMA 905i series handsets, which enable users to access two phone numbers and two e-mail addresses with a single device. DCM upgraded 96% of its total coverage area with 3G HSDPA technology and is consolidating eight regional sales divisions to streamline operating costs, while seeking expansion opportunities outside Japan.

DCM is currently trading at 13.5x P/E to our fiscal 2009 earnings estimates. This is at a significant discount to both the peer group (other Asian carriers) and the S&P 500 average. With respect to other selected valuation metrics, the stock is also trading well below its peers. According to our analysis, DCM maintains technical superiority with large scale global deployments of W-CDMA technology, facilitating the company to offer compatible international advanced roaming capabilities to its subscribers.

Successful implementation of its interoperable LTE network provides a service differentiation over competing carriers. We remain positive regarding the commercial success of FOMA 905i and FOMA 705i mobile handsets and believe the current valuation of the stock does not adequately reflect its full value. We set a six-month target price of $18 based on a forward P/E multiple of 15.7x our fiscal 2009 earnings estimate.

Merger Boost for DRS Tech

With a solid product portfolio, strong order bookings, and a large backlog position complementing revenue and earnings growth potential, DRS Technologies, Inc. (DRS is a leading supplier of defense electronic systems with exposure to the high-growth C4ISR area of the defense budget. Various multi-year contracts, within the defense sector further strengthened the company's position as a key supplier in the tactical secure communications marketplace.

Looking ahead, the $81 per share acquisition of DRS by Finmeccanica S.p.A.


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