Dutton Associates continues coverage of 21st Century Holding
Company (Nasdaq:TCHC) maintaining its rating at Strong Buy
and a $16 price target. The 9-page report by Dutton Associates senior
analyst Richard W. West, CFA, is available at www.jmdutton.com
as well as from First Call, Bloomberg Professional, Capital IQ, FactSet,
Reuters, Knobias, and other leading financial portals.
Several events have occurred at 21st Century including positive earnings
results, maintenance of the dividend, and the retirement of the founder
and CEO, Ted Lawson. The following summary provides our rationale for
reiterating our rating of Strong Buy and $16.00 price target.
21st Century’s management made a decision to
be selective in the underwriting of home insurance policies, with an eye
toward profitability. This decision came about as a reaction to
competition from the State of Florida and their lower premium rates.
Even with the lower revenue from new underwritings, management’s
strategy to control expenses resulted in record earnings for both the
fourth quarter and year-end 2007. TCHC’s 1Q
results, while still strong, continued to be impacted by the selective
underwriting decision and continued control of expenses. For 1Q 2008,
total revenue decreased $5.5 million, or 21.7%, to $20.0 million while
total expenses decreased $9.3 million, or 38.2%, to $15.0 million. NI
increased 412% to $4.3 million for 1Q 2008 while fully diluted net
income per share increased 440% to $0.54 for 1Q. The recent move by 21st
Century to diversify its business lines away from mobile homes and auto
business continues to produce positive results. Further geographical
diversification is adding to the long-term attractiveness of TCHC.
Considering the actual low market capitalization of 21st Century and the
relatively low valuation compared to the peer group, we believe shares
continue to deserve a rating of Strong Buy.
About Dutton Associates
Dutton Associates is one of the largest independent investment research
firms in the U.S. Its 30 senior analysts are primarily CFAs and have
expertise in many industries. Dutton Associates provides continuing
analyst coverage of over 140 enrolled companies, and its research,
estimates, and ratings are carried in all the major databases serving
institutions and online investors.
The cost of enrollment in our one-year continuing research program is US
$35,000 prepaid for 4 Research Reports, typically published quarterly,
and requisite Research Notes. We received $88,500 from the Company for
12 reports commencing 7/28/2004, and do not accept payment of our fees
in company stock. Our principals and analysts are prohibited from owning
or trading in securities of covered companies. The views expressed in
this research report accurately reflect the analyst's personal views
about the subject securities or issuer. Neither the analyst's
compensation nor the compensation received by us is in any way related
to the specific ratings or views contained in this research report or
note. Please read full disclosures and analyst background at www.jmdutton.com
before investing.
Dutton Associates
John M. Dutton, 916-960-0623